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Trade Policies and Integration of the Western Balkans

By: Reiter, Oliver.
Contributor(s): Stehrer, Robert.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookSeries: wiiw Working Papers: 148Publisher: Wien : Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw), 2018Description: 39 S., 16 Tables and 3 Figures, 30cm.Subject(s): structural gravity | modelling | EU accession | Western Balkans | multi-country input-output tableCountries covered: Wider Europewiiw Research Areas: International Trade, Competitiveness and FDIClassification: C54 | C55 | C67 | F13 | F14 | F15 | F17 Online resources: Click here to access online Summary: Based on a newly constructed multi-country input-output table including all European countries, we estimate the economic effects of the EU accession countries entering the ‘Stabilisation and Association Agreement’ (SAA) with the EU and the potential effects of joining the European Single Market applying a structural gravity framework. The results point towards strong positive effects on trade for the SAA countries, but only small effects for the EU Member States. Conducting a counterfactual analysis, the paper gives an indication of the magnitude of the positive impacts on GDP for these countries. In addition, a detailed industry breakdown of these effects is provided.
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Paper WIIW Library 5.700/148 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available 1000010004532

Based on a newly constructed multi-country input-output table including all European countries, we estimate the economic effects of the EU accession countries entering the ‘Stabilisation and Association Agreement’ (SAA) with the EU and the potential effects of joining the European Single Market applying a structural gravity framework. The results point towards strong positive effects on trade for the SAA countries, but only small effects for the EU Member States. Conducting a counterfactual analysis, the paper gives an indication of the magnitude of the positive impacts on GDP for these countries. In addition, a detailed industry breakdown of these effects is provided.

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