To Grow or Not to Grow: Belarus and Lithuania

By: Gylfason, Thorvaldur.
Contributor(s): Hochreiter, Eduard.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookSeries: wiiw Research Reports: 455Publisher: Wien : Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw), 2021Description: 38 S., 1 Table and 15 Charts, 30cm.Subject(s): Economic growth | Belarus | Lithuania | Governance | Transition economies | Education | Economic reforms | Exports | Inflation | Labour markets | Corona virusCountries covered: Belarus | Lithuaniawiiw Research Areas: Macroeconomic Analysis and Policy | Labour, Migration and Income Distribution | International Trade, Competitiveness and FDI | Regional DevelopmentClassification: O11 | O16 | O19 Online resources: Click here to access online Summary: We compare the economic growth performance of Belarus and Lithuania since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. Our interest in this country pair is driven by the two countries´ interwoven histories as well as by the fact that Belarus remains autocratic and strongly tied to Russia, while Lithuania has reinvented itself as a democratic market economy fully integrated into the EU. Our aim is to better understand the extent to which the growth differential between the two countries can be traced to increased efficiency, i.e., total factor productivity, in the use of capital and other resources via, inter alia, better institutions (intensive growth) as opposed to sheer accumulation of capital (extensive growth), the hallmark of Soviet economic growth. To this end, we compare the development of some key determinants of growth in the two countries since the 1990s. A simple growth accounting model suggests that advances in education at all levels, good governance, and institutional reforms have played a more significant role in raising economic output and efficiency in Lithuania than in Belarus, which remains marred by problems related to weak governance as well as autocratic rule. Further, as in Estonia and Latvia, the EU perspective has made a significant contribution to growth in Lithuania. The Russian connection has done less for Belarus. Finally, we touch upon the impact of the corona virus on the economies of the two countries.
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Paper WIIW Library 5.600/455 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available 1000010005923

We compare the economic growth performance of Belarus and Lithuania since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. Our interest in this country pair is driven by the two countries´ interwoven histories as well as by the fact that Belarus remains autocratic and strongly tied to Russia, while Lithuania has reinvented itself as a democratic market economy fully integrated into the EU. Our aim is to better understand the extent to which the growth differential between the two countries can be traced to increased efficiency, i.e., total factor productivity, in the use of capital and other resources via, inter alia, better institutions (intensive growth) as opposed to sheer accumulation of capital (extensive growth), the hallmark of Soviet economic growth. To this end, we compare the development of some key determinants of growth in the two countries since the 1990s. A simple growth accounting model suggests that advances in education at all levels, good governance, and institutional reforms have played a more significant role in raising economic output and efficiency in Lithuania than in Belarus, which remains marred by problems related to weak governance as well as autocratic rule. Further, as in Estonia and Latvia, the EU perspective has made a significant contribution to growth in Lithuania. The Russian connection has done less for Belarus. Finally, we touch upon the impact of the corona virus on the economies of the two countries.

The Vienna Instiute for International Economic Studies (wiiw)

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