01676nam a22002657u 4500001001000000003000400010005001700014008004100031040000800072041000800080084002400088100001900112245006300131260008600194300004400280490003800324520088300362650002801245650001201273650001701285650001001302651001201312830005101324856003501375pwiiw2982OSt20260516120039.0130808t2013    au ||||| |||| 00| ||eng d  cOSt  aeng  aF15aF17aP332jelc1 aHolzner, Mario10aImpact of Croatian EU Accession on Regional Trade Patterns  aWien :bWiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw),c2013.  a15 S., b3 Tables and 4 Figures,c30cm.1 awiiw Policy Notes and Reportsv10  aSummary 

This report aims to analyse the regional trade effects of Croatia’s accession to the EU and simultaneous exit from the CEFTA agreement on 1st July 2013. The Global Simulation Model (GSIM) as proposed by Francois and Hall (2003) is being applied. As the change in Croatian tariff protection is rather small, price and output changes for most CEFTA countries are expected to be mostly negligible. Only for Croatia the simulation suggests that overall consumer prices might fall by as much as 0.39% and real output by 0.41%, in the short run. However, it can be expected that EU support funds will offset that loss many times over. The share of Croatian exports to the EU is expected to increase by 2.2 percentage points, while the share of exports to the CEFTA countries and to the rest of the world is expected to drop by 0.7 and 1.5 percentage points, respectively.
  atrade policy simulation  aCroatia  aEU accession  aCEFTA  aCroatia 0v10wWIIW0000092twiiw Policy Notes and Reports40uhttps://wiiw.ac.at/p-2982.html