01781nam a22003017u 4500 pwiiw2982 OSt 20260516120039.0 130808t2013 au ||||| |||| 00| ||eng d OSt eng F15 F17 P33 jelc Holzner, Mario Impact of Croatian EU Accession on Regional Trade Patterns Wien : Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw), 2013. 15 S., 3 Tables and 4 Figures, 30cm. wiiw Policy Notes and Reports 10 Summary This report aims to analyse the regional trade effects of Croatia’s accession to the EU and simultaneous exit from the CEFTA agreement on 1st July 2013. The Global Simulation Model (GSIM) as proposed by Francois and Hall (2003) is being applied. As the change in Croatian tariff protection is rather small, price and output changes for most CEFTA countries are expected to be mostly negligible. Only for Croatia the simulation suggests that overall consumer prices might fall by as much as 0.39% and real output by 0.41%, in the short run. However, it can be expected that EU support funds will offset that loss many times over. The share of Croatian exports to the EU is expected to increase by 2.2 percentage points, while the share of exports to the CEFTA countries and to the rest of the world is expected to drop by 0.7 and 1.5 percentage points, respectively. trade policy simulation Croatia EU accession CEFTA Croatia International Trade, Competitiveness and FDI 10 WIIW0000092 wiiw Policy Notes and Reports https://wiiw.ac.at/p-2982.html P 8521 8521 0 0 0 0 BIB BIB 1 2013-08-08 pwiiw2982 0 /10 1000010002982 2013-08-08 00:00:00 2018-07-19 P