02576nam a22003017u 4500 pwiiw3290 OSt 20260516120107.0 030630t2003 au ||||| |||| 00| ||eng d OSt eng P51 P52 O11 O11 O57 O4 jelc Gligorov, Vladimir Prospects for Further (South) Eastern EU Enlargement: Form Divergence to Convergence? Wien : Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw), 2003. wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Papers 30 This paper looks at the experience of South East Europe which – for the purposes of this paper – includes the former states of Yugoslavia except for Slovenia (i.e. Croatia, Serbia-Montenegro, Bosnia-Herzegovina, and Macedonia), Albania, and the two EU candidate countries, Bulgaria and Romania. For all these economies, accession to the EU will be the overriding driving force of the policy-making agenda for the foreseeable future, albeit with widely different time horizons in the individual economies. In Part One we describe the South East European (SEE) ‘region’ as one which has over the 1990s significantly ‘fallen behind’ in the process of economic development relative to the group of Central and Eastern European (CEE) economies which will join the EU in 2004. While developments are somewhat heterogeneous, there is, in particular, an abysmal employment record which has not even started to turn around, as well as an extremely bad productivity and export performance. In Part Two, we discuss in greater detail the conditions required to move towards a sustained growth and catching-up process. We analyse the problematic states of transition in some of the SEE economies as well as the basic disequilibria (fiscal, external, labour markets) which need to be resolved for sustained development to take place. The prospects of making up for the lost decade and dealing with the unresolved disequilibria will be a crucial issue in evaluating the prospects of EU accession some time in the future. We discuss the stumbling blocks both from the SEE side and the EU side in developing a clear perspective of integration with the EU. South East Europe Balkan economies convergence EU enlargement SEE Holzner, Mario Landesmann, Michael 30 WIIW0000140 wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Papers https://wiiw.ac.at/p-3290.html P z 8741 8741 0 0 0 0 BIB BIB 1 2003-06-30 pwiiw3290 0 30 1000010003290 2003-06-30 00:00:00 2019-02-05 P