TY  - BOOK
AU  - Gligorov,Vladimir
AU  - Grieveson,Richard
AU  - Havlik,Peter
AU  - Hunya,Gabor
AU  - Pindyuk,Olga
AU  - Podkaminer,Leon
AU  - Richter,Sandor
AU  - Vidovic,Hermine
TI  - Looking Back, Looking Forward: Central and Eastern Europe 30 Years After the Fall of the Berlin Wall
T2  - wiiw Essays and Occasional Papers
PY  - 2019///
CY  - Wien
PB  - Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw)
KW  - CESEE
KW  - Europe
KW  - Central and Eastern Europe
KW  - transition
KW  - convergence
KW  - demographics
KW  - Albania
KW  - Belarus
KW  - Bosnia and Herzegovina
KW  - Bulgaria
KW  - Central and East Europe
KW  - CIS
KW  - Croatia
KW  - Czechia
KW  - Estonia
KW  - European Union
KW  - Hungary
KW  - Kazakhstan
KW  - Kosovo
KW  - Latvia
KW  - Lithuania
KW  - Moldova
KW  - Montenegro
KW  - New EU Member States
KW  - North Macedonia
KW  - Poland
KW  - Romania
KW  - Russia
KW  - Serbia
KW  - Slovakia
KW  - Slovenia
KW  - Southeast Europe
KW  - Turkey
KW  - Ukraine
N2  - To mark the 30th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall, this paper aims to assess developments in Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE) over the past three decades, and to look forward to what the next 30 years might bring. First, we measure the convergence of per capita income, wages and life expectancy in CESEE with Western Europe since 1989, and examine demographic trends. We find that, after a difficult start, many countries have become significantly wealthier and their populations much healthier. However, for others, the outcomes of the first 30 years are less positive, and a large number of countries in CESEE have already experienced significant population decline. Second, our experts look back at the situation in 1989, and to what extent their expectations have played out, reflecting on both successes and disappointments. Third, we analyse current trends in the region, and attempt to project what will come next. Here, we focus on automation, digitalisation, institutions, demographics and geopolitics. We find evidence of institutional regression, demographic challenges, and a changing geopolitical backdrop that will have important implications for much of the region. However, we also see reasons for optimism, including the opportunities provided by digitalisation and automation, and an active civil society that could in time force positive change

UR  - https://wiiw.ac.at/p-5059.html
ER  -