03839nam a22012257u 4500 pwiiw7026 OSt 20260516120044.0 241016t2024 au ||||| |||| 00| ||eng d 9783852090801 OSt eng E20 E21 E22 E24 E32 E5 E62 F21 F31 H60 I18 J20 J30 O47 O52 O57 P24 P27 P33 P52 jelc Astrov, Vasily External weakness dampening robust consumer-driven growth Wien : Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw), 2024. 158 S., 31 Tables, 57 Figures and 3 Boxes, 30cm. wiiw Forecast Reports October 2024 Economic growth will strengthen in most countries of CESEE in 2025-2026, as lower inflation and interest rates boost real incomes and consumer spending. Investment should also strengthen as interest rates fall, new foreign investment arrives, and EU funds continue to be drawn down. However, the deepening crisis in German industry will continue to weigh on the export-oriented industry of CESEE. The region faces significant downside risks to growth, including a potential victory for Donald Trump in the next US election, and higher energy prices due to tensions in the Middle East. CESEE Central and Eastern Europe economic forecast Western Balkans CIS Ukraine Russia Turkey EU euro area convergence business cycle labour markets unemployment Russia-Ukraine war Russia sanctions commodity prices inflation price controls trade disruptions Ukrainian refugees energy crisis gas electricity monetary policy fiscal policy impact on Austria near-shoring automotive industry droughts Albania Austria Belarus Bosnia and Herzegovina Bulgaria Central and East Europe CESEE CIS Croatia Czechia Estonia Euro Area European Union Hungary Kazakhstan Kosovo Latvia Lithuania Moldova Montenegro North Macedonia Poland Romania Russia Serbia Slovakia Slovenia Southeast Europe Turkey Ukraine US Western Balkans Macroeconomic Analysis and Policy International Trade, Competitiveness and FDI Bykova, Alexandra Dobrinsky, Rumen Gökten, Meryem Grieveson, Richard Hanzl-Weiss, Doris How, Marcus Hunya, Gabor 6 Jovanović, Branimir Korpar, Niko Kruk, Dzmitry Leitner, Sebastian Mara, Isilda Pindyuk, Olga Richter, Sandor Sošić, Marko Ströhm, Bernd Christoph Tverdostup, Marina Zavarská, Zuzana Żurawski, Adam October 2024 WIIW0000046 wiiw Forecast Reports https://wiiw.ac.at/p-7026.html P 9123 9123 0 0 0 0 BIB BIB 1 2024-10-16 October 2024 pwiiw7026 0 7.715/October 2024 1000010007026 2024-10-16 00:00:00 2025-04-07 P