TY  - BOOK
AU  - Astrov,Vasily
AU  - Bykova,Alexandra
AU  - Dobrinsky,Rumen
AU  - Gökten,Meryem
AU  - Grieveson,Richard
AU  - Hanzl-Weiss,Doris
AU  - How,Marcus
AU  - Hunya,Gabor
AU  - Jovanović,Branimir
AU  - Korpar,Niko
AU  - Kruk,Dzmitry
AU  - Leitner,Sebastian
AU  - Mara,Isilda
AU  - Pindyuk,Olga
AU  - Richter,Sandor
AU  - Sošić,Marko
AU  - Ströhm,Bernd Christoph
AU  - Tverdostup,Marina
AU  - Zavarská,Zuzana
AU  - Żurawski,Adam
TI  - External weakness dampening robust consumer-driven growth
T2  - wiiw Forecast Reports
SN  - 9783852090801
PY  - 2024///
CY  - Wien
PB  - Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw)
KW  - CESEE Central and Eastern Europe
KW  - economic forecast
KW  - Western Balkans
KW  - CIS
KW  - Ukraine
KW  - Russia
KW  - Turkey
KW  - EU
KW  - euro area
KW  - convergence
KW  - business cycle
KW  - labour markets
KW  - unemployment
KW  - Russia-Ukraine war
KW  - Russia sanctions
KW  - commodity prices
KW  - inflation
KW  - price controls
KW  - trade disruptions
KW  - Ukrainian refugees
KW  - energy crisis
KW  - gas
KW  - electricity
KW  - monetary policy
KW  - fiscal policy
KW  - impact on Austria
KW  - near-shoring
KW  - automotive industry
KW  - droughts
KW  - Albania
KW  - Austria
KW  - Belarus
KW  - Bosnia and Herzegovina
KW  - Bulgaria
KW  - Central and East Europe
KW  - CESEE
KW  - Croatia
KW  - Czechia
KW  - Estonia
KW  - Euro Area
KW  - European Union
KW  - Hungary
KW  - Kazakhstan
KW  - Kosovo
KW  - Latvia
KW  - Lithuania
KW  - Moldova
KW  - Montenegro
KW  - North Macedonia
KW  - Poland
KW  - Romania
KW  - Serbia
KW  - Slovakia
KW  - Slovenia
KW  - Southeast Europe
KW  - US
N2  - Economic growth will strengthen in most countries of CESEE in 2025-2026, as lower inflation and interest rates boost real incomes and consumer spending. Investment should also strengthen as interest rates fall, new foreign investment arrives, and EU funds continue to be drawn down. However, the deepening crisis in German industry will continue to weigh on the export-oriented industry of CESEE. The region faces significant downside risks to growth, including a potential victory for Donald Trump in the next US election, and higher energy prices due to tensions in the Middle East

UR  - https://wiiw.ac.at/p-7026.html
ER  -