Astrov, Vasily creator Bykova, Alexandra Duraković, Selena Gökten, Meryem Grieveson, Richard Hanzl-Weiss, Doris How, Marcus Hunya, Gabor Jovanović, Branimir Korpar, Niko Leitner, Sebastian Mara, Isilda Pindyuk, Olga Richter, Sandor Sošić, Marko Ströhm, Bernd Christoph Tverdostup, Marina Ghodsi, Mahdi Gutzianas, Ioannis Kruk, Dzmitry Reiter, Oliver Grodzicki, Maciej Locatelli, Benedetta Penkova-Pearson, Emilia text au Wien Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw) 2025 monographic eng

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152 S., 30 Tables and 48 Figures and 4 Boxes, 30cm. The global economy is set to suffer from new US tariffs, which will remain above pre-2025 levels and drive trade disruptions, financial volatility, and a downgrade in euro area GDP this year. In CESEE, the tariffs and their spillover effects from the EU, especially Germany, will slow regional growth to 2.6% in 2025. Private consumption and investment continue to support growth, but exports will struggle amid the US-led trade war. Political instability, unresolved conflicts, and ongoing risks from the war in Ukraine—compounded by the potential for an unfavourable settlement or Ukrainian collapse—pose additional threats to CESEE’s economic outlook and regional security. CESEE Central and Eastern Europe economic forecast Western Balkans CIS Ukraine Russia Turkey EU business cycle economic sentiment euro area convergence labour markets unemployment Russia-Ukraine war commodity prices inflation price controls trade disruptions renewable energy gas electricity monetary policy fiscal policy impact on Austria Albania Austria Belarus Bosnia and Herzegovina Bulgaria Central and East Europe CESEE CIS Croatia Czechia Estonia Euro Area European Union Hungary Kazakhstan Kosovo Latvia Lithuania Moldova Montenegro North Macedonia Poland Romania Russia Serbia Slovakia Slovenia Southeast Europe Turkey Ukraine US Western Balkans E20 E21 E22 E24 E32 E5 E62 F21 F31 H60 I18 J20 J30 O47 O52 O57 P24 P27 P33 P52 ISBN 9783852090818 https://wiiw.ac.at/p-7289.html https://wiiw.ac.at/p-7289.html 250429 20260518120043.0 pwiiw7289