000			01781nam a22003017u 4500
001			pwiiw2982
003			OSt
005			20260517120214.0
008			130808t2013 au ||||| |||| 00| ||eng d
040			_cOSt
041			_aeng
084			_aF15 _aF17 _aP33 _2jelc
100	1		_aHolzner, Mario
245	1	0	_aImpact of Croatian EU Accession on Regional Trade Patterns
260			_aWien : _bWiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw), _c2013.
300			_a15 S., _b3 Tables and 4 Figures, _c30cm.
490	1		_awiiw Policy Notes and Reports _v10
520			_aSummary This report aims to analyse the regional trade effects of Croatia’s accession to the EU and simultaneous exit from the CEFTA agreement on 1st July 2013. The Global Simulation Model (GSIM) as proposed by Francois and Hall (2003) is being applied. As the change in Croatian tariff protection is rather small, price and output changes for most CEFTA countries are expected to be mostly negligible. Only for Croatia the simulation suggests that overall consumer prices might fall by as much as 0.39% and real output by 0.41%, in the short run. However, it can be expected that EU support funds will offset that loss many times over. The share of Croatian exports to the EU is expected to increase by 2.2 percentage points, while the share of exports to the CEFTA countries and to the rest of the world is expected to drop by 0.7 and 1.5 percentage points, respectively.
650			_atrade policy simulation
650			_aCroatia
650			_aEU accession
650			_aCEFTA
651			_aCroatia
690			_aInternational Trade, Competitiveness and FDI
830		0	_v10 _wWIIW0000092 _twiiw Policy Notes and Reports
856	4	0	_uhttps://wiiw.ac.at/p-2982.html
942			_cP
999			_c8521 _d8521