000 03414nam a22007457u 4500
001 pwiiw5059
003 OSt
005 20260517120254.0
008 191107t2019 au ||||| |||| 00| ||eng d
040 _cOSt
041 _aeng
084 _aE00
_aE02
_aF02
_aJ11
_aP20
_aP30
_aO52
_2jelc
100 1 _aGligorov, Vladimir
245 1 0 _aLooking Back, Looking Forward: Central and Eastern Europe 30 Years After the Fall of the Berlin Wall
260 _aWien :
_bWiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw),
_c2019.
300 _a54 S.,
_b2 Tables and 29 Figures,
_c30cm.
490 1 _awiiw Essays and Occasional Papers
_v4
520 _aTo mark the 30th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall, this paper aims to assess developments in Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE) over the past three decades, and to look forward to what the next 30 years might bring. First, we measure the convergence of per capita income, wages and life expectancy in CESEE with Western Europe since 1989, and examine demographic trends. We find that, after a difficult start, many countries have become significantly wealthier and their populations much healthier. However, for others, the outcomes of the first 30 years are less positive, and a large number of countries in CESEE have already experienced significant population decline. Second, our experts look back at the situation in 1989, and to what extent their expectations have played out, reflecting on both successes and disappointments. Third, we analyse current trends in the region, and attempt to project what will come next. Here, we focus on automation, digitalisation, institutions, demographics and geopolitics. We find evidence of institutional regression, demographic challenges, and a changing geopolitical backdrop that will have important implications for much of the region. However, we also see reasons for optimism, including the opportunities provided by digitalisation and automation, and an active civil society that could in time force positive change.
650 _aCESEE
650 _aEurope
650 _aCentral and Eastern Europe
650 _atransition
650 _aconvergence
650 _ademographics
651 _aAlbania
651 _aBelarus
651 _aBosnia and Herzegovina
651 _aBulgaria
651 _aCentral and East Europe
651 _aCIS
651 _aCroatia
651 _aCzechia
651 _aEstonia
651 _aEuropean Union
651 _aHungary
651 _aKazakhstan
651 _aKosovo
651 _aLatvia
651 _aLithuania
651 _aMoldova
651 _aMontenegro
651 _aNew EU Member States
651 _aNorth Macedonia
651 _aPoland
651 _aRomania
651 _aRussia
651 _aSerbia
651 _aSlovakia
651 _aSlovenia
651 _aSoutheast Europe
651 _aTurkey
651 _aUkraine
690 _aMacroeconomic Analysis and Policy
690 _aInternational Trade, Competitiveness and FDI
700 1 _aGrieveson, Richard
700 1 _aHavlik, Peter
_94
700 1 _aHunya, Gabor
_96
700 1 _aPindyuk, Olga
700 1 _aPodkaminer, Leon
700 1 _aRichter, Sandor
700 1 _aVidovic, Hermine
830 0 _v4
_wWIIW0000122
_twiiw Essays and Occasional Papers
856 4 0 _uhttps://wiiw.ac.at/p-5059.html
942 _cP
999 _c8857
_d8857