000 02918nam a22004457u 4500
001 pwiiw7468
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005 20260518120040.0
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040 _cOSt
041 _aeng
084 _aF02
_aF15
_aF55
_aP52
_aO52
_2jelc
100 1 _aGrieveson, Richard
245 1 0 _aAnother Round of EU Enlargement: What are the economic and institutional must-haves for candidate countries to make accelerated enlargement possible?
260 _aWien :
_bWiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw),
_c2025.
300 _a104 S.,
_b2 Tables and 63 Figures,
_c30cm.
490 1 _awiiw Policy Notes and Reports
_v102
520 _aThis study identifies the minimum economic and institutional conditions that candidate countries must meet to ensure macroeconomic stability, sustainable growth, and effective integration into the EU, under a politically accelerated enlargement process. In the area of external accounts, successful past accessions managed current account deficits through FDI into tradable sectors, while real effective exchange rate misalignments and FDI into non-tradables led to post-accession instability. Key reforms include building export capacity, targeting FDI to tradables, aligning wages with productivity, and reducing debt-financed imbalances. On fiscal policy, while fiscal discipline is essential, overly conservative approaches can hinder growth. Countries with high debt-to-GDP ratios at accession faced prolonged austerity. Reforms should focus on fiscal sustainability, growth-oriented spending, tax base expansion, and procurement transparency. Labour market challenges include depopulation, low productivity, and high poverty. Effective employment policies, migration strategies, regional equity, and education-labour market alignment are essential. Institutional quality remains a critical barrier. Weak rule of law, corruption, and governance backsliding threaten accession prospects and must be addressed before accession. The study concludes that a focused set of pre-accession ‘must haves’ can guide enlargement, supported by adapted EU tools to mitigate risks and foster convergence.
650 _aEU Enlargement
650 _aEU Accession
650 _aCandidate Countries
650 _aUkraine
650 _aWestern Balkans
651 _aBulgaria
651 _aCroatia
651 _aMontenegro
651 _aRomania
651 _aSerbia
651 _aUkraine
690 _aMacroeconomic Analysis and Policy
690 _aLabour, Migration and Income Distribution
690 _aInternational Trade, Competitiveness and FDI
700 1 _aGutzianas, Ioannis
700 1 _aJovanović, Branimir
700 1 _aLandesmann, Michael
700 1 _aPindyuk, Olga
830 0 _v102
_wWIIW0000092
_twiiw Policy Notes and Reports
856 4 0 _uhttps://wiiw.ac.at/p-7468.html
942 _cP
999 _c9150
_d9150