000 02385nam a22003617u 4500
001 pwiiw7541
003 OSt
005 20260518120040.0
008 260315t2026 au ||||| |||| 00| ||eng d
040 _cOSt
041 _aeng
084 _aE22
_aH54
_2jelc
100 1 _aGutzianas, Ioannis
245 1 0 _aCrowding in or crowding out? Public and private investment in the Western Balkans
260 _aWien :
_bWiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (wiiw),
_c2026.
300 _a20 S.,
_b4 Tables and 3 Figures,
_c30cm.
490 1 _awiiw Policy Notes and Reports
_v104
520 _aThis note examines whether public infrastructure investment crowds in private investment in the Western Balkans and how this relationship compares with the EU. Using Eurostat data for 2000-2024 and a sector-level analysis, it finds that higher public infrastructure investment is generally associated with higher private investment in the region, broadly in line with EU patterns. One sectoral difference stands out: public investment in health infrastructure generates much smaller crowding-in effects in the Western Balkans than in the EU, plausibly reflecting weaker domestic complementarity, given the limited health-related industrial base. Crowding-in effects in the region are strongest in education, followed by information and communication, while energy, water and waste, and transport show more moderate effects, and health exhibits the weakest effect. Overall, the results suggest that scaling up public infrastructure investment can mobilise private capital in the Western Balkans, with particularly high returns in education. Where fiscal space is constrained, prioritising investment towards sectors with stronger crowding-in effects can improve impact, while stronger support for domestic health-related capabilities could increase the payoff from health infrastructure spending.
650 _apublic investment
650 _aprivate investment
650 _acrowding in
650 _ainfrastructure
650 _aWestern Balkans
651 _aEU
651 _aWestern Balkans
690 _aMacroeconomic Analysis and Policy
690 _aSectoral studies
700 1 _aHolzner, Mario
700 1 _aJovanović, Branimir
830 0 _v104
_wWIIW0000092
_twiiw Policy Notes and Reports
856 4 0 _uhttps://wiiw.ac.at/p-7541.html
942 _cP
999 _c9160
_d9160